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Winter Storm Update

All is on track for (sad to say) one of our biggist storms of the year. Good news is this is a completely new season and to get a Winter Storm Warning in October bodes well for us this year! We are looking at anywhere from 6″ min to a foot or more up high with a rain and snow mix to start which is a great way to start out our base in the chutes and elsewhere. Here is the latest from NOAA;

THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR IN THE SIERRA
FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS
WESTERN NEVADA FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH ACTIVITY TAPERING TO SHOWERS BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

Happy Hallows Eve, and here's to skiing soon enough!

Sven

SNOW!

The NAM is showing a good dose of snow through Sunday.

The NAM is showing a good dose of snow through Sunday.

Greetings Folks,

Although its too late for a Halloween opening, our first winter storm of the season is headed our way Halloween night and Saturday and we can expect some snow in the Sierras. Looks like much more than a dusting this time as NOAA has just issued its first Winter Storm Watch of the season. Looks like up to a foot in the Carson Range if the forecast models hold out. According to our inside sources we might see Pondo open up the second week of November if everything falls according to plan. Next week is forecast to be cold enough to blow snow as well, so whatever falls from the sky could be augmented by Dave Hahl and his snowmaking crew. Yes. You can now go wash your car!

-Sven

Snowmaking has Begun

Mt. Rose announced today they were blowing snow this morning. Although it did heat up toward the middle of the day… the fact that they are blowing snow underlies the fact that they are serious in getting the mountain open ASAP (as opposed to some Tahoe resorts like Alpine Meadows which announced a Dec. 12th opening). If we get some natural snow and decent conditions, our mountain could open as early as the second week of November although their “official” opening day is November 21st coming from a source in the front office.

Sven

Snow making began on 10/21/14. Booyah Dave Hahl!

Snow making began on 10/21/14. Booyah Dave Hahl! (photo:Mt. Rose)

Whats up with the weather…

NOAA just came out with their long range forecast for our area this winter and it looks fairly dry till February. Accuweather also came with theirs which I produced below… doesn’t look so hot either. After exhaustive research on my part El Nino nor La Nino seem to have any correlation to our area to either more or less snow so you might as well throw that one out as well.

Accuweather not looking muy bueno

Accuweather not looking muy bueno

However, the fact is, almost all the long range forecasts, despite all the money we throw at them, are basically, somebody’s educated guess, and unfortunately, are about as accurate as trying to pee out a plane window and land your pee stream on your worst neighbors scrambled eggs… another words… despite all the best intentions, it just ain’t gonna happen. Chances are it will be better than last year and the year before that… but it MAY not. Nobody knows, and if they tell you they do, there full of crap. On the upside, we have primeval believe in our house that the number of Aspen leaves you catch equals powder days… last year I was at 11 which was about right… this year I am sitting on 133 and we still have leaves left, so my Aspen religion tells me that its going to be a great season. And you know why it will be true… by God, because no matter how much it snows, I personally, will have an excellent season, no matter what we do or don’t have falling out of the sky. And while we are at it. Here is the word on our current drought conditions from our local NOAA office…

How Much Precipitation Would We Need to End the Drought?

The widespread rain and high elevation snow the last weekend of September was a welcome relief from the dry as of late, but barely registered a blip in the grand scheme of things. We are around a year behind average in precipitation accumula-tion at many sites around northeast California and northwest Nevada. We would need a winter with greater than 2 times average to even reach normal! This is more than we saw during our huge winter of 2010-2011 (moderate to strong La Niña) or for those who remember the winter of 1982-1983 (strong El Niño) . With this in mind, we are likely going to need several years of well above average precipitation to truly end the drought.

So there you have it… we be hurtin water wise but its unlikely according to averages for us to continue to have dry years stacked on top of consecutive dry years… but it COULD happen cause Ma Nature can do what she wants…

Only one thing is for sure… it will snow, so wax ‘em up boys and girls cause winter is coming to a mountain near you!

Sven

A New Season, A New Look For UnofficialMtRose.com

Snowrose

The first snow of the new season fell today on MountRose.  There’s a chance of more snowfall throughout the weekend at the Mount Rose summit, as today’s cold upper low stalls over Nevada, creating a classic Tonopah Low scenario. While the expected snow totals are not huge, it makes all of us dream of sliding on snow, except for Sven, who’s on vacation in a different latitude.

Screen Shot 2014-09-25 at 7.59.53 PM

We figured that with that new snow, it was time to roll out a new look for UnofficialMtRose.com. While accepting change is never easy, we were never completely in love with our old look. It was thrown together in a frenzy of a divorce from Unofficial Networks and was never meant to be permanent. More than than two years later, we’re finally getting around to changing the look.

The new theme brings a modernized look to the site, most importantly for the growing number of users that use mobile devices to access the site. While we’ve spent a few weeks working out kinks and refining some features on our development server, there’s still a few bumps here and there that we are still ironing out. We’ve also updated our site at Alpine Meadows; and the Bear Valley and Mount Bachelor sites will be done over the next week.

Hopefully the change in the look for UnofficialMtRose.com will also encourage a change in the long term weather pattern to one that produces a lot more snow this season!

Mark from UnofficialAlpine.com